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The so-called “4.2 ka event” is a dramatic climate oscillation that impacted many areas of the mid-to-low latitudes spanning roughly 4.2-3.9 ka (ka = thousands of years ago). Records of this event have been identified on every continent except Antarctica, with clear evidence of precipitation being affected on a large scale. Subtropical and tropical regions of Africa and Asia experienced drought, while mid-latitude areas of Africa and Europe saw anomalously wet conditions. The 4.2 ka event is argued to have had a substantial cultural impact, including the collapse of numerous dynasties and cultures such as in the Indus valley and south-central China, as well as parts of Mesopotamia, northeastern Africa, and across parts of southeast Asia. However, despite its wide geographic extent and societal importance, a great deal remains unknown about the 4.2 ka event, its global effects, and its origins. The apparent lack of a climate anomaly in the polar regions at 4.2 ka suggests it may have originated in the tropics, possibly through the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). I analyzed a stalagmite (SB-18) from Siddha Cave, located in the Pokhara Valley of central Nepal (28.0N, 84.0E elev.~600 meters), a region that receives 80% of its annual 1500 mm of rainfall from the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM). In contrast to many tropical stalagmite records, which use oxygen isotopes to track past monsoon rainfall, I focused on carbon isotopes because at Siddha Cave, oxygen isotopes in rainfall do not have a strong correlation to rainfall amount (the so-called “amount effect”). Carbon isotopes respond to hydroclimate variability through prior aragonite precipitation (PAP), which reflects out-gassing of carbon dioxide and precipitation of aragonite in voids in the bedrock above the cave. This process preferentially removes 12C from the infiltrating water that subsequently migrates downward into the cave. During periods with less rainfall, open spaces in the bedrock are more likely to be dewatered, thereby allowing for more prior aragonite precipitation. In order to ensure that carbon isotopes accurately capture ISM rainfall variability, I also examined uranium abundances in the same stalagmite. Changes in the concentration of uranium are also driven by PAP: uranium is incorporated into aragonite preferentially over dripwater and thus PAP reduces the amount of uranium in dripwater, thereby decreasing uranium in the underlying stalagmite. Carbon isotopes and U abundances in SB-18 suggest that central Nepal experienced anomalously high rainfall during the 4.2 ka event, in contrast with the majority of lower latitude sites around the globe, including a cave record from northeastern India, that record a reduction in rainfall at this time. This rainfall dipole provides an important climatic fingerprint that allows us to investigate the origins of the 4.2 ka event through analysis of modern climate data, including rainfall anomalies associated with ENSO.more » « less
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